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Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Sep 22, 2026
MarketMaster fair value47¢ vs live 46¢ on Polymarket
1.3% against the midpoint, -1.7% against the 49¢ ask you would actually pay, -3.0% after the 1.25¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
52¢ last
BidAsk
YES51¢52¢
NO48¢49¢
$7,332 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
54¢ last
BidAsk
YES51¢52¢
NO48¢49¢
$3,192 volume
Cross-venue spread 2.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Minnesota wins the Minnesota vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 21, 2026 at 9:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming MLB game between the Minnesota Twins and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for September 21 at 9:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Minnesota Twins" if the Minnesota Twins win the game. This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread2.0¢
Kalshi last52¢
Polymarket last54¢
Model fair value47¢
Model confidence37%
Venues2
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