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Miami vs San Diego FC — Miami

Post
KalshiPolymarket Closes Sep 20, 2026
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
68¢ last
BidAsk
YES67¢68¢
NO32¢33¢
$66,917 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
44¢ last
BidAsk
YES44¢45¢
NO55¢56¢
$1,388 volume
Cross-venue spread 24.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Polymarket and NO on Kalshi — total cost 78¢ per $1 payout, locking +22.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Miami wins the Miami vs San Diego FC professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and San Diego Padres, scheduled for September 20 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread24.0¢
Kalshi last68¢
Polymarket last44¢
Venues2
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The same question at a different strike, deadline or outcome — related, not the same contract. Prices are the latest YES.