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Miami vs Indianapolis — Miami

Post
KalshiPolymarket Closes Nov 15, 2026
MarketMaster fair value55¢ vs live 54¢ on Polymarket
1.3% against the midpoint, -0.7% against the 56¢ ask you would actually pay, -1.4% after the 0.74¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
44¢ last
BidAsk
YES43¢44¢
NO56¢57¢
$4,010 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
46¢ last
BidAsk
YES44¢45¢
NO55¢56¢
$743 volume
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Cross-venue spread 2.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Miami wins the Miami vs Indianapolis Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming NFL football game between Dolphins and Colts, scheduled for November 15 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Dolphins" if Dolphins win the game. This market will resolve to "Colts" if Colts win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread2.0¢
Kalshi last44¢
Polymarket last46¢
Model fair value55¢
Model confidence26%
Venues2
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