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Miami (OH) vs UMass: Total Points — Over 47.5 points

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Oct 10, 2026
MarketMaster fair value52¢ vs live 49¢ on Polymarket
3.4% against the midpoint, -4.6% against the 57¢ ask you would actually pay, -5.4% after the 0.74¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
48¢ last
BidAsk
YES44¢45¢
NO55¢56¢
$10,652 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
51¢ last
BidAsk
YES43¢44¢
NO56¢57¢
$2,338 volume
Cross-venue spread 3.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If the teams collectively score more than 47.5 points in the Miami (OH) vs UMass college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 10 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Miami (OH) and UMass combine to score 48 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 48, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread3.0¢
Kalshi last48¢
Polymarket last51¢
Model fair value52¢
Model confidence36%
Venues2
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The same question at a different strike, deadline or outcome — related, not the same contract. Prices are the latest YES.