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Macron out by December 31, 2026?

Post
Polymarket Closes Jan 1, 2027
LIVE PRICES — YES
PolymarketTrade ↗
4¢ last
BidAsk
YES4¢4¢
NO96¢96¢
$67,727 volume
Listed on Polymarket only. Kalshi does not carry a market that settles on this exact question, so there is no cross-venue price to compare here.
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread—
Kalshi last—
Polymarket last4¢
Venues2
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