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LoL: Role Swappers vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Group Stage

KalshiPolymarket Closes Aug 5, 2026
MarketMaster fair value94¢ vs live 90¢ on Kalshi
▲ +4.3% edge · Buy NO
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
14¢ last
BidAsk
YES10¢11¢
NO89¢90¢
$234 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
last
BidAsk
YES
NO96¢96¢
$3,969 volume
Cross-venue spread 10.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Polymarket and NO on Kalshi — total cost 94¢ per $1 payout, locking +6.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Role Swappers wins the LPLOL 2026: The Otter Side vs. Role Swappers League of Legends match originally scheduled for Aug 4, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the LoL Round 3 match between Role Swappers and The Otter Side in the LPLOL Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 4 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Role Swappers" if Role Swappers win the match against The Otter Side. This market will resolve to "The Otter Side" if The Otter Side win the match against Role Swappers. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread10.0¢
Kalshi last14¢
Polymarket last
Model fair value
Model confidence34%
Venues2
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