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LoL: NightBirds vs CITA Kaizen (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Aug 18, 2026
MarketMaster fair value86¢ vs live 85¢ on Kalshi
▲ +1.3% edge · Buy YES
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
86¢ last
BidAsk
YES83¢86¢
NO14¢17¢
$1,218 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
87¢ last
BidAsk
YES86¢87¢
NO13¢14¢
$7,921 volume
Cross-venue spread 1.0¢
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If NightBirds wins the Hitpoint Masters 2026: CITA Kaizen vs. NightBirds League of Legends match originally scheduled for Aug 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the LoL match between NightBirds and CITA Kaizen in the Hitpoint Masters Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "NightBirds" if NightBirds win the match against CITA Kaizen. This market will resolve to "CITA Kaizen" if CITA Kaizen win the match against NightBirds. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread1.0¢
Kalshi last86¢
Polymarket last87¢
Model fair value86¢
Model confidence38%
Venues2
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