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LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Post
KalshiPolymarket Closes Aug 8, 2026
MarketMaster fair value58¢ vs live 56¢ on Kalshi
▲ +1.4% edge · Buy YES
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
57¢ last
BidAsk
YES56¢57¢
NO43¢44¢
$3,929 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
54¢ last
BidAsk
YES53¢54¢
NO46¢47¢
$2,604 volume
Cross-venue spread 3.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Polymarket and NO on Kalshi — total cost 98¢ per $1 payout, locking +2.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If FURIA Esports wins the CBLOL 2026: LOUD vs. FURIA Esports League of Legends match originally scheduled for Aug 7, 2026 at 7:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the LoL match between FURIA Esports and LOUD in the CBLOL Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 7 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports win Game 1 against LOUD. This market will resolve to "LOUD" if LOUD win Game 1 against FURIA Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread3.0¢
Kalshi last57¢
Polymarket last54¢
Model fair value58¢
Model confidence42%
Venues2
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