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LoL: Maryville University vs Contingent Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage

Post
KalshiPolymarket Closes Aug 8, 2026
MarketMaster fair value32¢ vs live 30¢ on Polymarket
▲ +1.5% edge · Buy NO
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
68¢ last
BidAsk
YES66¢68¢
NO32¢34¢
$2,736 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
70¢ last
BidAsk
YES69¢70¢
NO30¢31¢
$6,901 volume
Cross-venue spread 2.0¢
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 99¢ per $1 payout, locking +1.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Maryville University wins the North American Challengers League 2026: Contingent Esports vs. Maryville University League of Legends match originally scheduled for Aug 7, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the LoL match between Maryville University and Contingent Esports in the North American Challengers League Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 7 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Maryville University" if Maryville University win the match against Contingent Esports. This market will resolve to "Contingent Esports" if Contingent Esports win the match against Maryville University. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread2.0¢
Kalshi last68¢
Polymarket last70¢
Model fair value68¢
Model confidence38%
Venues2
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