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LoL: Conviction vs Dorado Gaming - Game 1 Winner

KalshiPolymarket Closes Jul 31, 2026
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
81¢ last
BidAsk
YES77¢81¢
NO19¢23¢
$57,751 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
100¢ last
BidAsk
YES100¢100¢
NO
$38,229 volume
Cross-venue spread 18.9¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 81¢ per $1 payout, locking +18.9¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Conviction wins the North American Challengers League 2026: Dorado Gaming vs. Conviction League of Legends match originally scheduled for Jul 30, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the LoL match between Conviction and Dorado Gaming in the North American Challengers League Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 30 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Conviction" if Conviction win Game 1 against Dorado Gaming. This market will resolve to "Dorado Gaming" if Dorado Gaming win Game 1 against Conviction. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread18.9¢
Kalshi last81¢
Polymarket last100¢
Venues2
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