UFC Fight Night: Ludovit Klein vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims)

KalshiPolymarket Closes Aug 2, 2026

MarketMaster fair value67¢ vs live 66¢ on Polymarket

▲ +1.3% edge · Buy YES

LIVE PRICES — YES

69¢ last

	Bid	Ask
YES	68¢	69¢
NO	31¢	32¢

$3,291 volume

PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗

66¢ last

	Bid	Ask
YES	66¢	67¢
NO	33¢	34¢

$5,888 volume

Cross-venue spread 3.0¢· active arbitrage window

CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Polymarket and NO on Kalshi — total cost 99¢ per $1 payout, locking +1.0¢ per contract before fees.

Stake $

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY

HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Ludovit Klein wins the Klein vs Musayev professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Ludovit Klein" if Ludovit Klein is officially declared the winner of the fight against Tofiq Musayev at UFC Fight Night: Medić vs. Rodriguez, scheduled for August 1, 2026. It will resolve to "Tofiq Musayev" if Tofiq Musayev is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 15, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

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STATS

Cross-venue spread3.0¢

Kalshi last69¢

Polymarket last66¢

Model fair value67¢

Model confidence35%

Venues2

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