Skip to content
Scanner / All markets / Sports

LoL: Conviction vs Dorado Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage

KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Jul 31, 2026
MarketMaster fair value91¢ vs live 89¢ on Kalshi
▲ +2.0% edge · Buy YES
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
95¢ last
BidAsk
YES91¢92¢
NO
$13,739 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
98¢ last
BidAsk
YES94¢97¢
NO
$20,198 volume
Cross-venue spread 3.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 98¢ per $1 payout, locking +2.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Conviction wins the North American Challengers League 2026: Dorado Gaming vs. Conviction League of Legends match originally scheduled for Jul 30, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the LoL match between Conviction and Dorado Gaming in the North American Challengers League Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 30 at 8:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Conviction" if Conviction win the match against Dorado Gaming. This market will resolve to "Dorado Gaming" if Dorado Gaming win the match against Conviction. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread3.0¢
Kalshi last95¢
Polymarket last98¢
Model fair value91¢
Model confidence43%
Venues2
TRACK THIS MARKET

Get an email the moment the price or edge moves — watchlists, whale alerts and the full scanner are free to start.

Start free — no card
RELATED MARKETS
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonFight Night: Medic vs Rodriguez — Daniel RodriguezCounter-Strike: regain vs Chicken Coop Esports (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier PlayoffsLoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendLoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports (BO3) - LCP Group StageLoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Group StageUFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims)UFC Fight Night: Ludovit Klein vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims)