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LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas - Game 1 Winner

KalshiPolymarket Closes Aug 2, 2026
MarketMaster fair value86¢ vs live 81¢ on Polymarket
▲ +4.5% edge · Buy YES
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
90¢ last
BidAsk
YES89¢90¢
NO10¢11¢
$3,512 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
81¢ last
BidAsk
YES80¢81¢
NO19¢20¢
$4,867 volume
Cross-venue spread 9.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Polymarket and NO on Kalshi — total cost 92¢ per $1 payout, locking +8.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Cloud9 wins the LCS 2026: Dignitas vs. Cloud9 League of Legends match originally scheduled for Aug 1, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the LoL match between Cloud9 and Dignitas in the LCS Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 1 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Cloud9" if Cloud9 win Game 1 against Dignitas. This market will resolve to "Dignitas" if Dignitas win Game 1 against Cloud9. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread9.0¢
Kalshi last90¢
Polymarket last81¢
Model fair value86¢
Model confidence37%
Venues2
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