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Kecmanovic vs Mannarino — Miomir Kecmanovic

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Sep 28, 2026
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
63¢ last
BidAsk
YES62¢63¢
NO37¢38¢
$30,315 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
62¢ last
BidAsk
YES60¢61¢
NO39¢40¢
$1,269 volume
Cross-venue spread 1.0¢
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Polymarket and NO on Kalshi — total cost 99¢ per $1 payout, locking +1.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Miomir Kecmanovic wins the Kecmanovic vs Mannarino professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Beijing Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the tennis match between Miomir Kecmanovic and Adrian Mannarino in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Miomir Kecmanovic' if Miomir Kecmanovic advances against Adrian Mannarino. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against Miomir Kecmanovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread1.0¢
Kalshi last63¢
Polymarket last62¢
Venues2
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