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IND Colts vs WAS Commanders: Total Points — Over 49.5 points

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KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Oct 4, 2026
This market group is no longer actively tracked — final data shown. See live edges →
MarketMaster fair value58¢ vs live 57¢ on Polymarket
1.3% against the midpoint, -1.7% against the 60¢ ask you would actually pay, fee unknown for this series.
No edge at the ask
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
40¢ last
BidAsk
YES40¢41¢
NO59¢60¢
$52,740 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
43¢ last
BidAsk
YES40¢42¢
NO58¢60¢
$1,519 volume
Cross-venue spread 3.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If IND Colts and WAS Commanders collectively score more than 49.5 points in the IND Colts vs WAS Commanders Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Colts and Commanders combine to score 50 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 50, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread3.0¢
Kalshi last40¢
Polymarket last43¢
Model fair value58¢
Model confidence32%
Venues2
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The same question at a different strike, deadline or outcome — related, not the same contract. Prices are the latest YES.