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IND Colts vs WAS Commanders: Total Points — Over 47.5 points

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Oct 4, 2026
This market group is no longer actively tracked — final data shown. See live edges →
MarketMaster fair value54¢ vs live 53¢ on Kalshi
1.3% against the midpoint, 0.8% against the 53¢ ask you would actually pay, -0.9% after the 1.74¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
53¢ last
BidAsk
YES52¢53¢
NO47¢48¢
$57,347 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
55¢ last
BidAsk
YES53¢54¢
NO46¢47¢
$8,685 volume
Cross-venue spread 2.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If IND Colts and WAS Commanders collectively score more than 47.5 points in the IND Colts vs WAS Commanders Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Colts and Commanders combine to score 48 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 48, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread2.0¢
Kalshi last53¢
Polymarket last55¢
Model fair value54¢
Model confidence39%
Venues2
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The same question at a different strike, deadline or outcome — related, not the same contract. Prices are the latest YES.