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IND Colts vs WAS Commanders: Total Points — Over 48.5 points

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KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Oct 4, 2026
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
44¢ last
BidAsk
YES44¢45¢
NO55¢56¢
$42,895 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
43¢ last
BidAsk
YES42¢43¢
NO57¢58¢
$9,419 volume
Cross-venue spread 1.0¢
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Polymarket and NO on Kalshi — total cost 99¢ per $1 payout, locking +1.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If IND Colts and WAS Commanders collectively score more than 48.5 points in the IND Colts vs WAS Commanders Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 4 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Colts and Commanders combine to score 49 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 49, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread1.0¢
Kalshi last44¢
Polymarket last43¢
Venues2
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The same question at a different strike, deadline or outcome — related, not the same contract. Prices are the latest YES.