How high will Bitcoin get in 2026? — Above $109,999.99

Name: How high will Bitcoin get in 2026? — Above $109,999.99 — daily price history on Kalshi and Polymarket
Creator: MarketMaster
License: https://marketmaster.live/terms

Post

KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Jan 1, 2027

MarketMaster fair value21¢ vs live 12¢ on Polymarket

8.8% against the midpoint, 6.5% against the 14¢ ask you would actually pay, +5.7% after the 0.87¢ taker fee.

▲ +5.7% after fees · Buy YES

Trade on Polymarket ↗

LIVE PRICES — YES

KalshiTrade ↗

28¢ last

	Bid	Ask
YES	27¢	28¢
NO	72¢	73¢

$629,262 volume

PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗

10¢ last

	Bid	Ask
YES	10¢	14¢
NO	86¢	90¢

$1,818,759 volume

Cross-venue spread 18.0¢· active arbitrage window

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Where else do the venues disagree?Live cross-venue gaps across every market Open in the analyzerPrice history, alerts and your watchlist

CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Polymarket and NO on Kalshi — total cost 88¢ per $1 payout, locking +12.5¢ per contract before fees.

Stake $

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY

HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $109999.99 starting 01/02/2026 06:00 PM and before Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT between 16 December '25 10:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's "High" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Show full rules

STATS

Cross-venue spread18.0¢

Kalshi last28¢

Polymarket last10¢

Model fair value21¢

Model confidence32%

Venues2

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What a cross-venue gap is actually worth · How accurate are these prices?