Buy YES on Polymarket and NO on Kalshi — total cost 99¢ per $1 payout, locking +0.7¢ per contract before fees.
If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $149999.99 starting 01/01/2026 12:00 AM and before Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title by 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
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