Scanner / All markets / Sports

Houston vs Chicago WS: Total Runs — Over 8.5 runs scored

KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Jul 26, 2026
MarketMaster fair value77¢ vs live 72¢ on Polymarket
▲ +4.7% edge · Buy NO
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
13¢ last
BidAsk
YES12¢13¢
NO87¢88¢
$135,077 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
28¢ last
BidAsk
YES17¢18¢
NO82¢83¢
$24,006 volume
Cross-venue spread 15.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 96¢ per $1 payout, locking +4.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Houston and Chicago WS collectively score more 8.5 runs in the Houston vs Chicago WS professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 25, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming MLB game between the Houston Astros and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for July 25 at 7:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Houston Astros and Chicago White Sox combine to score 9 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 9, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread15.0¢
Kalshi last13¢
Polymarket last28¢
Model fair value23¢
Model confidence44%
Venues2
TRACK THIS MARKET

Get an email the moment the price or edge moves — watchlists, whale alerts and the full scanner are free to start.

Start free — no card
RELATED MARKETS
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendLoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonLoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group StageLoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group StageLos Angeles D vs New York M: Total Runs — Over 8.5 runs scoredValorant: Paper Rex vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group OmegaSeattle vs Texas: Total Runs — Over 7.5 runs scored