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Seattle vs Texas: Total Runs — Over 7.5 runs scored

KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Jul 26, 2026
MarketMaster fair value68¢ vs live 61¢ on Polymarket
▲ +7.2% edge · Buy YES
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
62¢ last
BidAsk
YES61¢64¢
NO36¢39¢
$211,685 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
61¢ last
BidAsk
YES65¢66¢
NO34¢35¢
$112,746 volume
Cross-venue spread 1.0¢
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 99¢ per $1 payout, locking +1.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Seattle and Texas collectively score more 7.5 runs in the Seattle vs Texas professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 25, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Texas Rangers, scheduled for July 25 at 7:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Seattle Mariners and Texas Rangers combine to score 8 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 8, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread1.0¢
Kalshi last62¢
Polymarket last61¢
Model fair value68¢
Model confidence50%
Venues2
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