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Hangzhou Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Andrey Rublev

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Sep 28, 2026
MarketMaster fair value28¢ vs live 27¢ on Kalshi
1.3% against the midpoint, 0.8% against the 27¢ ask you would actually pay, -0.5% after the 1.38¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
27¢ last
BidAsk
YES26¢27¢
NO73¢74¢
$1,759 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
29¢ last
BidAsk
YES27¢28¢
NO72¢73¢
$1,156 volume
Cross-venue spread 2.0¢
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Kyrian Jacquet wins the Jacquet vs Rublev professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Hangzhou Semifinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the tennis match between Kyrian Jacquet and Andrey Rublev in the Hangzhou Open, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kyrian Jacquet' if Kyrian Jacquet advances against Andrey Rublev. This market will resolve to 'Andrey Rublev' if Andrey Rublev advances against Kyrian Jacquet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread2.0¢
Kalshi last27¢
Polymarket last29¢
Model fair value28¢
Model confidence31%
Venues2
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