Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?

Polymarket Closes Jan 1, 2027

This market group is no longer actively tracked — final data shown. See live edges →

LIVE PRICES — YES

PolymarketTrade ↗

3¢ last

	Bid	Ask
YES	3¢	4¢
NO	96¢	97¢

$2,404,238 volume

Listed on Polymarket only. Kalshi does not carry a market that settles on this exact question, so there is no cross-venue price to compare here.

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30-DAY PRICE HISTORY

HOW THIS RESOLVES

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

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STATS

Cross-venue spread—

Kalshi last—

Polymarket last3¢

Venues2

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