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Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 15, 2027?

Post ☰ See all 3 outcomes in Pedro Snchez Out As Pm Of Spain By →
Polymarket Closes Jan 16, 2027
LIVE PRICES — YES
PolymarketTrade ↗
58¢ last
BidAsk
YES57¢58¢
NO42¢43¢
$24,277 volume
Listed on Polymarket only. Kalshi does not carry a market that settles on this exact question, so there is no cross-venue price to compare here.
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pedro Sánchez continuing as Prime Minister in an acting or caretaker capacity will not be considered a cessation of office. An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread—
Kalshi last—
Polymarket last58¢
Venues2
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