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Fight Night: Rosas Jr vs Barcelos — Raoni Barcelos

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Sep 27, 2026
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
37¢ last
BidAsk
YES36¢37¢
NO63¢64¢
$7,653 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
37¢ last
BidAsk
YES38¢39¢
NO61¢62¢
$4,027 volume
Cross-venue spread 0.0¢
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 99¢ per $1 payout, locking +1.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Raoni Barcelos wins the Rosas Jr vs Barcelos professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Raoni Barcelos" if Raoni Barcelos is officially declared the winner of the fight against Raul Rosas Jr. at UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos, scheduled for September 26, 2026. It will resolve to "Raul Rosas Jr." if Raul Rosas Jr. is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 10, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread0.0¢
Kalshi last37¢
Polymarket last37¢
Venues2
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