Skip to content
Scanner / All markets / Economics

Fed funds rate after Dec 2026 meeting? — Above 4.00%

Post
Kalshi Closes Dec 9, 2026
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
83¢ last
BidAsk
YES82¢83¢
NO17¢18¢
$96,402 volume
New to Kalshi? Sign up with our referral link for a new-account bonus. We may earn a referral reward; it doesn't change the prices shown here.
Listed on Kalshi only. Polymarket does not carry a market that settles on this exact question — it frames this release differently, so there is no cross-venue price to compare here.
Track this market on MarketMaster →
Where else do the venues disagree?Live cross-venue gaps across every market Open in the analyzerPrice history, alerts and your watchlist
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 4.00% following the Federal Reserve's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

STATS
Cross-venue spread—
Kalshi last83¢
Polymarket last—
Venues2
TRACK THIS MARKET

Get an email the moment the price or edge moves — watchlists, whale alerts and the full scanner are free to start.

Start free — no card
ELSEWHERE
What a cross-venue gap is actually worth · How accurate are these prices?
RELATED MARKETS
Fed funds rate after Dec 2027 meeting? — Above 4.00%87¢Fed funds rate after Jun 2027 meeting? — Above 4.25%75¢Fed funds rate after Dec 2027 meeting? — Above 5.50%11¢Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.65% before 2027?Will Anthropic raise between $105B and $115B in its IPO?
The same question at a different strike, deadline or outcome — related, not the same contract. Prices are the latest YES.