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FaZe Up Next vs. Nice Try — Nice Try

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Sep 17, 2026
MarketMaster fair value48¢ vs live 46¢ on Kalshi
2.8% against the midpoint, 1.3% against the 47¢ ask you would actually pay, -0.5% after the 1.74¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
47¢ last
BidAsk
YES46¢51¢
NO49¢54¢
$3,259 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
51¢ last
BidAsk
YES47¢51¢
NO49¢53¢
$3,036 volume
Cross-venue spread 4.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Nice Try wins the Circuito Retake 2026: FaZe Up Next vs. Nice Try CS2 match originally scheduled for Sep 17, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Nice Try and FaZe Up Next in the Circuito Retake Group A, initially scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nice Try" if Nice Try win the match against FaZe Up Next. This market will resolve to "FaZe Up Next" if FaZe Up Next win the match against Nice Try. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 17, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread4.0¢
Kalshi last47¢
Polymarket last51¢
Model fair value48¢
Model confidence34%
Venues2
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