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Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs OG (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Post
KalshiPolymarket Closes Aug 13, 2026
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
68¢ last
BidAsk
YES62¢69¢
NO31¢38¢
$6,167 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
100¢ last
BidAsk
YES100¢100¢
NO
$398,946 volume
Cross-venue spread 31.9¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 69¢ per $1 payout, locking +30.9¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Nigma Galaxy wins The International 2026: OG vs. Nigma Galaxy Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Aug 13, 2026 at 5:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 2 match between Nigma Galaxy and OG in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy" if Nigma Galaxy win Game 1 against OG. This market will resolve to "OG" if OG win Game 1 against Nigma Galaxy. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, the 7-day (168-hour) delay period will be measured from the originally scheduled start time of August 13, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET to the rescheduled start time. If the rescheduled start time falls more than 168 hours after the originally scheduled start time, this market will resolve to 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If no rescheduled start time falling within that 168-hour period has been announced by August 20, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is rescheduled to a start time within 168 hours of the originally scheduled start time, this market will resolve based on the result of the match as played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread31.9¢
Kalshi last68¢
Polymarket last100¢
Venues2
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