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Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner

KalshiPolymarket Closes Jul 31, 2026
MarketMaster fair value48¢ vs live 43¢ on Kalshi
▲ +4.5% edge · Buy NO
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
59¢ last
BidAsk
YES56¢58¢
NO42¢44¢
$18 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
51¢ last
BidAsk
YES50¢51¢
NO49¢50¢
$154,708 volume
Cross-venue spread 8.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Polymarket and NO on Kalshi — total cost 95¢ per $1 payout, locking +5.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If LGD Gaming wins Games of the Future 2026: LGD Gaming vs. Xtreme Gaming Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Jul 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between LGD Gaming and GamerLegion in the 1win Essence Group A, initially scheduled for July 31 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win Game 1 against GamerLegion. This market will resolve to "GamerLegion" if GamerLegion win Game 1 against LGD Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread8.0¢
Kalshi last59¢
Polymarket last51¢
Model fair value53¢
Model confidence50%
Venues2
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