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Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner

KalshiPolymarket Closes Jul 31, 2026
MarketMaster fair value vs live on Kalshi
▲ +5.3% edge · Buy YES
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
last
BidAsk
YES
NO99¢100¢
$16,074 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
100¢ last
BidAsk
YES100¢100¢
NO
$235,292 volume
Cross-venue spread 98.9¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost per $1 payout, locking +98.9¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If 1win wins 1win Essence 2026: Vici Gaming vs. 1win Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Jul 31, 2026 at 9:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between 1win and Vici Gaming in the 1win Essence Group B, initially scheduled for July 31 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "1win" if 1win win Game 2 against Vici Gaming. This market will resolve to "Vici Gaming" if Vici Gaming win Game 2 against 1win. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread98.9¢
Kalshi last
Polymarket last100¢
Model fair value
Model confidence52%
Venues2
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