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Dana White's Contender Series: Ilias Bulaid vs. Erick Visconde (Featherweight, Main Card)

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Sep 30, 2026
MarketMaster fair value51¢ vs live 49¢ on Kalshi
2.1% against the midpoint, 1.1% against the 50¢ ask you would actually pay, -0.6% after the 1.75¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
50¢ last
BidAsk
YES48¢49¢
NO51¢52¢
$991 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
49¢ last
BidAsk
YES48¢49¢
NO51¢52¢
$995 volume
Cross-venue spread 1.0¢
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Ilias Bulaid wins the Bulaid vs Visconde professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Ilias Bulaid" if Ilias Bulaid is officially declared the winner of the fight against Erick Visconde at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 8, scheduled for September 29, 2026. It will resolve to "Erick Visconde" if Erick Visconde is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 13, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread1.0¢
Kalshi last50¢
Polymarket last49¢
Model fair value51¢
Model confidence30%
Venues2
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The same question at a different strike, deadline or outcome — related, not the same contract. Prices are the latest YES.