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Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs KUUSAMO.gg - Map 1 Winner

Post
KalshiPolymarket Closes Sep 6, 2026
MarketMaster fair value71¢ vs live 70¢ on Kalshi
1.3% against the midpoint, -2.2% against the 73¢ ask you would actually pay.
No edge at the ask
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
68¢ last
BidAsk
YES69¢74¢
NO26¢31¢
$5,105 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
99¢ last
BidAsk
YES99¢99¢
NO1¢1¢
$20,395 volume
Cross-venue spread 31.9¢· active arbitrage window
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Where else do the venues disagree?Live cross-venue gaps across every market Open in the analyzerPrice history, alerts and your watchlist
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 74¢ per $1 payout, locking +25.9¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If WRAITH PCIFIC wins the ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #6 2026: KUUSAMO.gg vs. WRAITH PCIFIC CS2 match originally scheduled for Sep 6, 2026 at 9:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

STATS
Cross-venue spread31.9¢
Kalshi last68¢
Polymarket last99¢
Model fair value71¢
Model confidence38%
Venues2
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The same question at a different strike, deadline or outcome — related, not the same contract. Prices are the latest YES.