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Esport Academy Copenhagen vs. Heroic — Heroic

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Sep 6, 2026
MarketMaster fair value20¢ vs live 19¢ on Polymarket
1.3% against the midpoint, -1.7% against the 22¢ ask you would actually pay.
No edge at the ask
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
90¢ last
BidAsk
YES87¢90¢
NO10¢13¢
$7,692 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
86¢ last
BidAsk
YES83¢86¢
NO14¢17¢
$6,156 volume
Cross-venue spread 4.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Polymarket and NO on Kalshi — total cost 99¢ per $1 payout, locking +1.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Heroic wins the PGL Masters European Open Qualifier #2 2026: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs. Heroic CS2 match originally scheduled for Sep 6, 2026 at 10:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 16 match between Heroic and Esport Academy Copenhagen in the PGL Masters European Open Qualifier #2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Heroic" if Heroic win the match against Esport Academy Copenhagen. This market will resolve to "Esport Academy Copenhagen" if Esport Academy Copenhagen win the match against Heroic. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 6, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread4.0¢
Kalshi last90¢
Polymarket last86¢
Model fair value80¢
Model confidence39%
Venues2
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