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Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C

Post
KalshiPolymarket Closes Aug 14, 2026
MarketMaster fair value54¢ vs live 53¢ on Kalshi
▲ +1.1% edge · Buy YES
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
53¢ last
BidAsk
YES52¢53¢
NO47¢48¢
$7,484 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
55¢ last
BidAsk
YES54¢55¢
NO45¢46¢
$31,732 volume
Cross-venue spread 2.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 99¢ per $1 payout, locking +1.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If PARIVISION wins the Esports World Cup 2026: 100 Thieves vs. PARIVISION CS2 match originally scheduled for Aug 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between PARIVISION and 100 Thieves in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for August 14 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win the match against 100 Thieves. This market will resolve to "100 Thieves" if 100 Thieves win the match against PARIVISION. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread2.0¢
Kalshi last53¢
Polymarket last55¢
Model fair value54¢
Model confidence44%
Venues2
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