Skip to content
Scanner / All markets / Sports

Counter-Strike: Liquid vs fnatic (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs

KalshiPolymarket Closes Aug 5, 2026
MarketMaster fair value35¢ vs live 34¢ on Kalshi
▲ +1.9% edge · Buy NO
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
68¢ last
BidAsk
YES66¢67¢
NO33¢34¢
$4,767 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
63¢ last
BidAsk
YES62¢63¢
NO37¢38¢
$23,629 volume
Cross-venue spread 5.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Polymarket and NO on Kalshi — total cost 97¢ per $1 payout, locking +3.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Team Liquid wins the Stake Pulse Beat I 2026: fnatic vs. Team Liquid CS2 match originally scheduled for Aug 5, 2026 at 9:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 2 match between Liquid and fnatic in the Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 5 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Liquid" if Liquid win the match against fnatic. This market will resolve to "fnatic" if fnatic win the match against Liquid. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread5.0¢
Kalshi last68¢
Polymarket last63¢
Model fair value65¢
Model confidence42%
Venues2
TRACK THIS MARKET

Get an email the moment the price or edge moves — watchlists, whale alerts and the full scanner are free to start.

Start free — no card
RELATED MARKETS
LoL: Estral Esports vs Ei Nerd Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular SeasonLoL: EDward Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group AscendCounter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsValorant: Trace Esports vs A Team (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-InsLoL: Shark Attack vs DIA Ozarox Esports (BO3) - TCL Play-InsUFC Fight Night: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Quillan Salkilld (Lightweight, Main Card)Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-InsValorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Ins