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Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Ins

KalshiPolymarket Closes Aug 6, 2026
MarketMaster fair value40¢ vs live 39¢ on Polymarket
▲ +1.3% edge · Buy NO
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
58¢ last
BidAsk
YES58¢59¢
NO41¢42¢
$558 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
61¢ last
BidAsk
YES61¢62¢
NO38¢39¢
$2,643 volume
Cross-venue spread 3.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 98¢ per $1 payout, locking +2.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If FunPlus Phoenix wins the VCT China Stage 2 2026: JD Gaming vs. FunPlus Phoenix Valorant match originally scheduled for Aug 6, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket quarterfinal 2 match between FunPlus Phoenix and JD Gaming in the VCT China Stage 2 Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 6 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "FunPlus Phoenix" if FunPlus Phoenix win the match against JD Gaming. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against FunPlus Phoenix. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread3.0¢
Kalshi last58¢
Polymarket last61¢
Model fair value60¢
Model confidence33%
Venues2
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