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Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stage

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Aug 18, 2026
MarketMaster fair value43¢ vs live 42¢ on Kalshi
▲ +2.0% edge · Buy YES
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
43¢ last
BidAsk
YES42¢43¢
NO57¢58¢
$1,100 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
45¢ last
BidAsk
YES45¢46¢
NO54¢55¢
$7,257 volume
Cross-venue spread 2.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 98¢ per $1 payout, locking +2.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Leo Team wins the CCT Europe Series #7 2026: ex-RUSTEC vs. Leo Team CS2 match originally scheduled for Aug 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between Leo Team and ex-RUSTEC in the CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Leo Team" if Leo Team win the match against ex-RUSTEC. This market will resolve to "ex-RUSTEC" if ex-RUSTEC win the match against Leo Team. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread2.0¢
Kalshi last43¢
Polymarket last45¢
Model fair value43¢
Model confidence37%
Venues2
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