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Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group C

KalshiPolymarket Closes Jul 28, 2026
MarketMaster fair value60¢ vs live 59¢ on Kalshi
▲ +1.8% edge · Buy YES
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
60¢ last
BidAsk
YES57¢60¢
NO40¢43¢
$2,217 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
62¢ last
BidAsk
YES61¢62¢
NO38¢39¢
$5,196 volume
Cross-venue spread 2.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 99¢ per $1 payout, locking +1.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If ex-RUSTEC wins the Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 2026: UNiTY esports vs. ex-RUSTEC CS2 match originally scheduled for Jul 28, 2026 at 10:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Winners match between ex-RUSTEC and UNiTY esports in the Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group C, initially scheduled for July 28 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "ex-RUSTEC" if ex-RUSTEC win the match against UNiTY esports. This market will resolve to "UNiTY esports" if UNiTY esports win the match against ex-RUSTEC. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread2.0¢
Kalshi last60¢
Polymarket last62¢
Model fair value60¢
Model confidence37%
Venues2
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