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Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage

KalshiPolymarket Closes Jul 28, 2026
MarketMaster fair value49¢ vs live 48¢ on Polymarket
▲ +1.1% edge · Buy NO
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
51¢ last
BidAsk
YES50¢52¢
NO48¢50¢
$3,281 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
52¢ last
BidAsk
YES51¢52¢
NO48¢49¢
$3,347 volume
Cross-venue spread 1.0¢
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Butterfly wins the NODWIN Clutch Series 2026: G2 Ares vs. Butterfly CS2 match originally scheduled for Jul 28, 2026 at 7:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between Butterfly and G2 Ares in the NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 28 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Butterfly" if Butterfly win the match against G2 Ares. This market will resolve to "G2 Ares" if G2 Ares win the match against Butterfly. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread1.0¢
Kalshi last51¢
Polymarket last52¢
Model fair value51¢
Model confidence36%
Venues2
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