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Counter-Strike: Butterfly vs Atreides - Map 2 Winner

KalshiPolymarket Closes Jul 30, 2026
MarketMaster fair value54¢ vs live 49¢ on Polymarket
▲ +5.5% edge · Buy NO
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
53¢ last
BidAsk
YES25¢57¢
NO43¢75¢
$475 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
51¢ last
BidAsk
YES50¢51¢
NO49¢50¢
$2,757 volume
Cross-venue spread 2.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Butterfly wins the NODWIN Clutch Series 2026: Atreides vs. Butterfly CS2 match originally scheduled for Jul 30, 2026 at 7:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Butterfly and Atreides in the NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 30 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Butterfly" if Butterfly win Map 2 against Atreides. This market will resolve to "Atreides" if Atreides win Map 2 against Butterfly. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread2.0¢
Kalshi last53¢
Polymarket last51¢
Model fair value46¢
Model confidence33%
Venues2
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