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Contender Series: Diop vs Sabanov — Zaurbek Sabanov

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Sep 30, 2026
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
80¢ last
BidAsk
YES79¢80¢
NO20¢21¢
$4,828 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
78¢ last
BidAsk
YES76¢78¢
NO22¢24¢
$2,866 volume
Cross-venue spread 2.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Polymarket and NO on Kalshi — total cost 99¢ per $1 payout, locking +1.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Zaurbek Sabanov wins the Diop vs Sabanov professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Zaurbek Sabanov" if Zaurbek Sabanov is officially declared the winner of the fight against Adama Diop at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 8, scheduled for September 29, 2026. It will resolve to "Adama Diop" if Adama Diop is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 13, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread2.0¢
Kalshi last80¢
Polymarket last78¢
Venues2
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