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Contender Series: Bulaid vs Visconde — Ilias Bulaid

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Sep 30, 2026
MarketMaster fair value49¢ vs live 48¢ on Polymarket
1.3% against the midpoint, -2.7% against the 52¢ ask you would actually pay, -4.0% after the 1.25¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
50¢ last
BidAsk
YES49¢50¢
NO50¢51¢
$4,429 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
52¢ last
BidAsk
YES48¢50¢
NO50¢52¢
$1,866 volume
Cross-venue spread 2.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Ilias Bulaid wins the Bulaid vs Visconde professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Ilias Bulaid" if Ilias Bulaid is officially declared the winner of the fight against Erick Visconde at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 8, scheduled for September 29, 2026. It will resolve to "Erick Visconde" if Erick Visconde is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 13, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread2.0¢
Kalshi last50¢
Polymarket last52¢
Model fair value49¢
Model confidence35%
Venues2
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