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Colts vs. Steelers: O/U 52.5

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Oct 11, 2026
MarketMaster fair value25¢ vs live 24¢ on Kalshi
1.4% against the midpoint, 0.8% against the 24¢ ask you would actually pay, -0.4% after the 1.28¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
23¢ last
BidAsk
YES23¢24¢
NO76¢77¢
$2,537 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
26¢ last
BidAsk
YES23¢24¢
NO76¢77¢
$975 volume
Cross-venue spread 3.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If IND Colts and PIT Steelers collectively score more than 52.5 points in the IND Colts vs PIT Steelers Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 11 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Colts and Steelers combine to score 53 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 53, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread3.0¢
Kalshi last23¢
Polymarket last26¢
Model fair value25¢
Model confidence30%
Venues2
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The same question at a different strike, deadline or outcome — related, not the same contract. Prices are the latest YES.