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Bears vs. Falcons: O/U 56.5

Post ☰ See all 8 outcomes in Chicago vs Atlanta: Total Points →
KalshiPolymarket Closes Oct 18, 2026
This market group is no longer actively tracked — final data shown. See live edges →
MarketMaster fair value35¢ vs live 33¢ on Polymarket
1.8% against the midpoint, -2.2% against the 37¢ ask you would actually pay, -2.9% after the 0.70¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
37¢ last
BidAsk
YES36¢37¢
NO63¢64¢
$310,077 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
33¢ last
BidAsk
YES35¢37¢
NO63¢65¢
$1,585 volume
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Cross-venue spread 4.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Chicago and Atlanta collectively score more than 56.5 points in the Chicago vs Atlanta Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 18 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Bears and Falcons combine to score 57 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 57, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread4.0¢
Kalshi last37¢
Polymarket last33¢
Model fair value35¢
Model confidence28%
Venues2
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The same question at a different strike, deadline or outcome — related, not the same contract. Prices are the latest YES.