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Bears vs. Falcons: O/U 44.5

Post ☰ See all 8 outcomes in Chicago vs Atlanta: Total Points →
KalshiPolymarket Closes Oct 18, 2026
MarketMaster fair value73¢ vs live 71¢ on Kalshi
2.4% against the midpoint, 1.9% against the 71¢ ask you would actually pay, +0.4% after the 1.44¢ taker fee.
▲ +0.4% after fees · Buy YES
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
71¢ last
BidAsk
YES70¢71¢
NO29¢30¢
$882 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
75¢ last
BidAsk
YES70¢71¢
NO29¢30¢
$1,260 volume
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Cross-venue spread 4.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Chicago and Atlanta collectively score more than 44.5 points in the Chicago vs Atlanta Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 18 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Bears and Falcons combine to score 45 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 45, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread4.0¢
Kalshi last71¢
Polymarket last75¢
Model fair value73¢
Model confidence26%
Venues2
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The same question at a different strike, deadline or outcome — related, not the same contract. Prices are the latest YES.