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BAL Ravens vs ATL Falcons: Total Points — Over 45.5 points

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Oct 12, 2026
MarketMaster fair value54¢ vs live 51¢ on Polymarket
2.8% against the midpoint, -3.2% against the 57¢ ask you would actually pay, -4.0% after the 0.74¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
44¢ last
BidAsk
YES43¢44¢
NO56¢57¢
$24,316 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
49¢ last
BidAsk
YES43¢44¢
NO56¢57¢
$11,442 volume
Cross-venue spread 5.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If BAL Ravens and ATL Falcons collectively score more than 45.5 points in the BAL Ravens vs ATL Falcons Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 11 at 8:20 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Ravens and Falcons combine to score 46 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 46, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread5.0¢
Kalshi last44¢
Polymarket last49¢
Model fair value54¢
Model confidence41%
Venues2
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