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Atlanta vs Chicago C: Total Runs — Over 7.5 runs scored

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Sep 17, 2026
MarketMaster fair value47¢ vs live 46¢ on Polymarket
1.4% against the midpoint, -2.6% against the 50¢ ask you would actually pay, -3.9% after the 1.25¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
52¢ last
BidAsk
YES51¢52¢
NO48¢49¢
$21,434 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
54¢ last
BidAsk
YES52¢53¢
NO47¢48¢
$5,808 volume
Cross-venue spread 2.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Atlanta and Chicago C collectively score more 7.5 runs in the Atlanta vs Chicago C professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 16, 2026 at 7:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming MLB game between the Atlanta Braves and Chicago Cubs, scheduled for September 16 at 7:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Atlanta Braves and Chicago Cubs combine to score 8 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 8, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread2.0¢
Kalshi last52¢
Polymarket last54¢
Model fair value47¢
Model confidence41%
Venues2
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