Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova — Aryna Sabalenka

Kalshi — primary rule

If Aryna Sabalenka wins the Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Finals (Women) Group Stage after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Karolina Muchova in the WTA Finals, Group B, originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aryna Sabalenka' if Aryna Sabalenka advances against Karolina Muchova. This market will resolve to 'Karolina Muchova' if Karolina Muchova advances against Aryna Sabalenka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.