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Army vs. Tulsa

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Oct 24, 2026
MarketMaster fair value50¢ vs live 49¢ on Kalshi
1.4% against the midpoint, 0.9% against the 49¢ ask you would actually pay, -0.9% after the 1.75¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
49¢ last
BidAsk
YES48¢49¢
NO51¢52¢
$2,632 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
51¢ last
BidAsk
YES46¢47¢
NO53¢54¢
$4,500 volume
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Cross-venue spread 2.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Polymarket and NO on Kalshi — total cost 99¢ per $1 payout, locking +1.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Army wins the Army vs Tulsa college football game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming college football game between Army and Tulsa, scheduled for October 23 at 8:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Army" if Army win the game. This market will resolve to "Tulsa" if Tulsa win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread2.0¢
Kalshi last49¢
Polymarket last51¢
Model fair value50¢
Model confidence36%
Venues2
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