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Arizona vs San Diego: Total Runs — Over 6.5 runs scored

Post ☰ See all 3 outcomes in Arizona vs San Diego: Total Runs →
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Sep 26, 2026
MarketMaster fair value61¢ vs live 60¢ on Polymarket
1.4% against the midpoint, -2.6% against the 64¢ ask you would actually pay, -3.8% after the 1.15¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
63¢ last
BidAsk
YES62¢63¢
NO37¢38¢
$7,863 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
60¢ last
BidAsk
YES63¢64¢
NO36¢37¢
$808 volume
Cross-venue spread 3.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Arizona and San Diego collectively score more 6.5 runs in the Arizona vs San Diego professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 25, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and San Diego Padres, scheduled for September 25 at 9:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Arizona Diamondbacks and San Diego Padres combine to score 7 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 7, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread3.0¢
Kalshi last63¢
Polymarket last60¢
Model fair value61¢
Model confidence36%
Venues2
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